Friends or Foes? Major Trading Partners and the Success of Economic Sanctions

- This gauss code is provided for replication of our statistical analysis 
- Codes for predicted probabilities or PCP values are also available upon request.
- Estimation: MLE of (independent) Strategic probit choice models
- Data: mclean_whang_isq_replication
- Data for the US sanctions are also available upon request. 
- Specification: 

      Sender
      /\
     /  \Target
SQs,SQt /\
       /  \
  CDs,CDt DLs,DLt
       
SQs: constant issue
SQt: not identified because no choice is available for the target
CDs: constant 
CDt: normalized to zero
DLs: lcaprat s_polit2 s_tr_li_100
DLt: constant lcaprat t_polit2 bk_num top5_diff (or top1_diff) sender_top1_pre

Elena McLean and Taehee Whang 
02/27/2009
